Athletic Bilbao stormed into the top 4 after a 2-1 away victory over Rayo Vallecano on Sunday. Now they face a more serious test. Since August 2024, they have only suffered two home defeats. This season with a 0-1 loss to Atletico and last season with a 0-2 loss to Real Madrid. They will try to avoid defeat this time, although they have lost their last five home games against Real for the championship.
So far, Real Madrid has taken advantage of Barcelona's mistakes and unlike them, they have three consecutive wins without conceding a goal in La Liga. They are now just one point behind Barca, with a game in hand. As a guest, Real Madrid has three wins and three draws, and none of those visits have seen more than three goals, with Real scoring in each of them.
Prediction: under 2.5 goalsAthletic Bilbao is not easy to beat, especially at home, but they have lost their last matches against Real Madrid here. However, I am focusing on the goals, as neither team finds it easy to score. Six out of eight home games for Bilbao have had under 2.5 goals, as well as four out of six visits for Real. Furthermore, their recent matches have also been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals in the last six encounters between the two teams. As a precaution, you can try the safer under 3.5 goals, but I would confidently bet on under 2.5 goals here.
This text is an AI-assisted translation in English. Link to the original source in Bulgarian ➔