On Thursday night, minnows Andorra and Kosovo go head-to-head at the Estadi Nacional in Group I of qualifying for next year's European Championships.
Andorra form guideUnsurprisingly, the home team has struggled for points in Group I, as they currently sit at the bottom of the standings, having picked up just two points from their six qualifiers for Euro 2024.
A 3-0 home defeat against Switzerland last time out means that Andorra have now lost three of their last four qualifiers. The game also saw the home team concede at least two goals in all three of those recent qualifying defeats.
Andorra have failed to win in their last four home games in qualifying, having suffered three defeats and picked up just one draw, which was in their previous home game against Belarus. The game saw Andorra record their first clean sheet in 33 qualifiers on home soil.
Kosovo form guideThe visitors are in fifth place in Group I, just two points above their hosts in the standings, having picked up four points. All four points have come from draws, as Kosovo have failed to win any of the six qualifiers. In fact, they have failed to win any of their previous eight international matches.
Poor form in Group I means that Kosovo have now failed to win in their last nine European Championship qualifiers.
Their recent games in qualifying have been relatively low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in four of their previous six qualifiers.
Kosovo have only won one of their eight away games in European Championship qualifiers since making their debut in qualifying in 2019. In fact, the visitors have lost five of their eight away qualifiers.
What am I backing?Both teams have found wins hard to come by lately. I believe this game will be a tight, low-scoring affair. With that in mind, I am backing this game to produce under 2.5 goals.