Genk enters this match with a varied picture of their performance in the tournament. The 4:3 victory over Braga showed their attacking potential, but the 0:0 draw with Real Betis and the narrow results against Ferencvaros and Rangers outline their other side – matches decided by tight margins. An additional emphasis is that in 5 of Genk's last 7 matches, fewer than 2.5 goals have been scored, which clearly indicates more frequent closed encounters.
Variable face for Basel in away matchesBasel demonstrates stability at home with victories over FCSB and Stuttgart, but away from their field, the picture is quite different. Losses to Lyon and Freiburg showed fluctuations and more difficult control over the match. At the same time, the trend towards lower scoring is also evident for them – in 4 of their last 5 matches, fewer than 2.5 goals have been registered, suggesting more cautious and closed encounters.
Prediction: Under 3.5 goalsBoth teams show a clear tendency towards matches with few goals, supported by specific results in the tournament. Genk often operates within minimal differences, and Basel also tends to have matches with limited scoring. This common rhythm of both teams leads me to predict under 3.5 goals in this match.
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