Lucerne enters this match with a clearly defined offensive profile, especially when playing at home. Their recent matches often turn into open shootouts, with 4 of the last 5 matches seeing more than 3.5 goals. Lucerne rarely shuts down, and at home, they even more confidently seek goals, even at the cost of risks in defense.
Basel struggles to withstand pressure away from homeBasel does not always participate in high-scoring spectacles, but their away games often open up spaces. The team has serious difficulties keeping clean sheets away from home, which explains the frequent exchanges of goals. It is no coincidence that in 5 of the last 7 direct encounters between the two teams, we have seen goals in both nets.
Prediction: Over 3.5 goalsThe combination of Lucerne's bold style at home and Basel's defensive struggles during away games creates excellent conditions for a high-scoring match. The history of direct encounters also supports this line, and if Lucerne imposes their usual tempo, the threshold of 3.5 goals seems completely achievable.
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