Poland has only one victory in their last six matches, which was a 3-2 win as a guest against Scotland in the Nations League. However, they followed this with a 0-1 loss as a guest against Croatia, and on Saturday a 1-3 loss at home against Portugal. This was Poland's first home loss in over two years, since they lost at home in the same competition against the Netherlands.
Croatia's only away match so far ended in a 1-2 loss against Portugal. They have at least won both of their home matches. In addition to beating Scotland 2-1 at home on Saturday, Poland also had to hold their breath as a goal by the Scots in stoppage time was overturned by VAR. The finalist from the last edition of the Nations League still has a chance for first place, but they need to continue winning to achieve that goal.
Prediction: under 2.5 goals, drawPoland has not been losing at home recently and will look to avoid doing so twice in a row within a few days. Croatia won narrowly at home against Poland, but they may not achieve the same result when playing away. Historically, the four matches between them have had very few goals, with under 1.5 goals in each of them.
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