On Saturday night, Independiente and Estudiantes go head-to-head in the last-16 of the Copa Argentina.
Independiente form guideThe home team’s recent form has been inconsistent, although they have recorded back-to-back victories over Velez Sarsfield and Gimnasia La Plata in their last two outings. Although their previous two games have been high-scoring, their recent matches have been generally low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in eight of their last ten games.
Despite making it to the last-16 of the Copa Argentina, Independiente have won just one of their last three matches in 90 minutes in the competition. The home team has, however, kept five straight clean sheets in the Copa Argentina.
Independiente are also unbeaten on home soil in five Copa Argentina games over 90 minutes, conceding just one goal in the run. The recent clean sheets have contributed to there being under 2.5 goals scored in five of their last six Copa games in front of their own supporters.
Estudiantes form guideThe visitors go into this cup game on a bad run of recent form, having won just one of their previous five games in all competitions while losing the other four matches in the run. Estudiantes’ recent games have been relatively high-scoring, with two or more goals scored in all competitions in six of their last eight games.
Despite their poor recent general form, Estudiantes have won three of their last four matches in the Argentina Copa. Their recent games in the competition have been relatively low-scoring, though, with under 2.5 goals scored in five of their previous eight matches.
The visitors have a mixed recent away record in the Argentina Copa, but they have won just two of their previous six cup matches on their travels.
What am I backing?It would be hard to say that either of these are favourites for the victory. I believe this will be a relatively even game. The bet I am backing is under 2.5 goals scored.
